This timeline is a joint presentation by the Institute for the Study of War (www.understandingwar.org) and the Critical Threats Project at the American Enterprise Institute (www.criticalthreats.org). The text is drawn from daily media tracking and analysis conducted by the superb analytical teams at ISW and CTP. The Syria Team at ISW includes Jennifer Cafarella, Christopher Kozak, and Genevieve Casagrande. The Ukraine/Russia Team is headed by Hugo Spaulding. This presentation was created by Frederick W. Kagan, director of the Critical Threats Project (fkagan@aei.org). ISW analysts can be reached at press@understandingwar.org.
Russian aircraft based at Syria's Latakia airfield hit targets in rebel-held towns in Homs and Hama Provinces. Targets included groups supported by the US.
Prime Minister Davutoglu says Russia is hitting the Free Syrian Army to 'destroy the moderate opposition' and bolster the Assad regime.
Russian fighter crosses into Turkish airspace, and MiG-29 aircraft (either Russian or Syrian) locked fire-control radars on Turkish F-16s.
NATO holds emergency meeting about Russian violations of Turkish airspace. Turkey warns Russia that it might shoot down Russian aircraft in future.
Anti-aircraft missile systems in Syria locked fire-control radars on eight Turkish F-16s. US aircraft forced to re-route to avoid Russian planes in Syria.
Erdogan warns Russia of Turkish economic retaliation for Russian airstrikes supporting Assad.
Russian warplanes flew "intercept tracks" at least three times since September 30.
The US and Germany continued pre-planned withdrawals of Patriot anti-aircraft batteries from Turkey despite Turkish appeals to leave them in place.
Syrian air defenses locked fire-control radars on seven Turkish F-16s on two separate occasions.
Russia announces that advanced Su-30 air superiority fighters will accompany its attack aircraft, presumably to defend against coalition airplanes.
Turkish official says Russian aircraft approached Turkish planes at dangerous distances 13 times since September 30 and Russia has provided no "adequate" explanation.
A Turkish jet downed a Russian drone that crossed from Syria into Turkey, according to an unnamed U.S. defense official. Meanwhile, Russia's Ministry of Defense announced that all Russian planes had returned to Latakia Air Base after "completing combat operations" but said that Russian drones were still conducting surveillance operations.
Russia says its attack aircraft will fly solo again.
Turkey warned that Ankara would react harshly to the opening of a Kurdish mission in Moscow.
The U.S. sent six F-15C aircraft to Incirlik Airbase in southern Turkey.
The U.S. sent six additional F-15E jets to Incirlik Airbase in Turkey to support the international coalition's ongoing anti-ISIS efforts in Syria.
The U.S. and Britain reportedly discouraged France from activating NATO's Article 5 guarantee to avoid complications with Russia and Turkey
Turkish Foreign Minister warned that Russian attacks on Syrian Turkmen villages "could lead to serious consequences."
Syrian, Hezbollah, and Iranian-backed militia forces advance in Turkmen areas under Russian air cover.
Turkey refuses to allow Russia to send Mi-28 helicopters to Iraq over its airspace. They were sent over Iranian airspace instead.
Two Turkish F-16 planes shot down a Russian SU-24 jet on November 24 that Turkey claimed was in Turkish airspace and ignored repeated warnings. Two Russian pilots ejected from the plane, which reportedly crashed in the Turkmen village of Yamadi in Syria near the Turkish border.
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